Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.059153 0.067001 0.075015 0.083782 0.093072 0.102598 0.113075
2025-09-21 0.048665 0.060415 0.072966 0.087235 0.102886 0.119420 0.138100
2025-09-28 0.040496 0.054517 0.070075 0.088318 0.108851 0.131013 0.156521
2025-10-05 0.038050 0.054371 0.072980 0.095261 0.120767 0.148673 0.181157
2025-10-12 0.031988 0.049215 0.069512 0.094407 0.123445 0.155685 0.193668
2025-10-19 0.028271 0.046444 0.068470 0.096026 0.128653 0.165293 0.208856
2025-10-26 0.024560 0.043268 0.066615 0.096405 0.132190 0.172810 0.221517
2025-11-02 0.021898 0.041173 0.065872 0.097933 0.136919 0.181571 0.235484
2025-11-09 0.019043 0.038514 0.064195 0.098134 0.139924 0.188216 0.246927
2025-11-16 0.015464 0.034434 0.060387 0.095445 0.139253 0.190406 0.253085
2025-11-23 0.012442 0.030797 0.056901 0.092944 0.138636 0.192518 0.259028
2025-11-30 0.010939 0.029341 0.056261 0.094004 0.142321 0.199676 0.270819
2025-12-07 0.009680 0.028232 0.056157 0.095896 0.147243 0.208574 0.284992
2025-12-14 0.009022 0.028091 0.057420 0.099615 0.154502 0.220352 0.302662
2025-12-21 0.007777 0.026731 0.056818 0.100779 0.158496 0.228164 0.315627
2025-12-28 0.008185 0.028492 0.060854 0.108225 0.170491 0.245703 0.340176
2026-01-04 0.006623 0.026254 0.058795 0.107310 0.171769 0.250171 0.349134
2026-01-11 0.005809 0.025368 0.058710 0.109044 0.176404 0.258709 0.362932
2026-01-18 0.004832 0.023954 0.057712 0.109450 0.179278 0.265056 0.374083
2026-01-25 0.004185 0.023155 0.057624 0.111085 0.183722 0.273316 0.387520
2026-02-01 0.003391 0.021815 0.056574 0.111301 0.186265 0.279196 0.398064
2026-02-08 0.002306 0.019331 0.053455 0.108421 0.184632 0.279805 0.402152
2026-02-15 0.001470 0.017097 0.050566 0.105743 0.183169 0.280554 0.406351